Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001101 0.001139 0.001177 0.001219 0.001263 0.001309 0.001360
2025-08-24 0.001018 0.001072 0.001128 0.001192 0.001262 0.001337 0.001424
2025-08-31 0.000978 0.001045 0.001117 0.001201 0.001297 0.001403 0.001532
2025-09-07 0.000940 0.001017 0.001101 0.001202 0.001320 0.001455 0.001624
2025-09-14 0.000901 0.000984 0.001077 0.001190 0.001325 0.001485 0.001691
2025-09-21 0.000866 0.000953 0.001052 0.001175 0.001325 0.001506 0.001746
2025-09-28 0.000838 0.000930 0.001035 0.001167 0.001331 0.001534 0.001810
2025-10-05 0.000800 0.000892 0.000998 0.001133 0.001303 0.001516 0.001812
2025-10-12 0.000779 0.000873 0.000983 0.001125 0.001306 0.001537 0.001867
2025-10-19 0.000764 0.000861 0.000976 0.001126 0.001320 0.001573 0.001943
2025-10-26 0.000746 0.000844 0.000962 0.001117 0.001321 0.001590 0.001993
2025-11-02 0.000734 0.000835 0.000956 0.001118 0.001335 0.001626 0.002071
2025-11-09 0.000718 0.000821 0.000945 0.001112 0.001338 0.001648 0.002133
2025-11-16 0.000702 0.000805 0.000931 0.001102 0.001336 0.001662 0.002182
2025-11-23 0.000697 0.000804 0.000936 0.001117 0.001369 0.001727 0.002318
2025-11-30 0.000688 0.000797 0.000933 0.001120 0.001386 0.001770 0.002421
2025-12-07 0.000675 0.000784 0.000921 0.001112 0.001384 0.001784 0.002478
2025-12-14 0.000660 0.000769 0.000906 0.001099 0.001376 0.001789 0.002518
2025-12-21 0.000649 0.000758 0.000896 0.001092 0.001377 0.001806 0.002580
2025-12-28 0.000629 0.000735 0.000870 0.001062 0.001342 0.001764 0.002533
2026-01-04 0.000619 0.000725 0.000861 0.001055 0.001340 0.001777 0.002587
2026-01-11 0.000612 0.000719 0.000857 0.001056 0.001351 0.001810 0.002681
2026-01-18 0.000602 0.000709 0.000847 0.001048 0.001348 0.001819 0.002731